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最基本的,我們會看一個國家的經濟成長率。不過這年頭大家越來越聰明,多半了解經濟成長率中間有太多可以玩的把戲,因此會開始追尋一西其他的資料。比如:零售業銷貨成長,採購經理人指數,甚至,用水用電量。
中國因為幅員廣大,每個區域的經濟動能不盡相同。而統整起來的整體數據跟現實狀況很容易出現問題。因此,有一群人,就仿效了美國的做法,做出了這個有趣的玩意兒:China Beige Book
How to gauge the economic condition of a country?
Such questions remain challenging for lots of Economists, especially in case of China. Various reports has suggested that GDP growth number ALONE cannot be indicative for the overall economic condition. Some economists suggest to look at electricity consumption, considering China as "world factory". Others suggest to look at retail sales and service sector, considering China "in-transit" as a more domestic-consumption-oriented economy.
Now, Beige Book has its Chinese version.
近期Beige Book資料:
China Beige Book News Coverage
FED Beige Book, current release